Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the secrets typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. My partner and i analyzed the West Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had the particular edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also realized that there initially were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on that game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This online game offers all the symptoms of being one involving the very best games regarding the year, with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming backside from appearing down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

In the event this video game were appearing played in a good neutral field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, often the extra added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that spare point will make the big difference between a new push and even a loss.

But cebofil.org/category/%eb%a8%b9%ed%8a%80%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%8a%b8 of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since January 17, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game in the home, while averaging only stopping 15. seven points each game at home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that their very own last home loss they also have averaged beating their own oppositions by way of about thirty four items per game.

What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by 13 details per sport at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats had been developed during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already possessed recent games through which they also have only scored twenty-eight, 12, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a new close activity to call up. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this kind of game and not really bet at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back the punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can can still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular activity, people severe regarding sports betting saved money many people can put to better make use of on future games.