Sports bets are often very profitable if you know the techniques typically the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that smart money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Va had the particular edge in the sport. Yet , We also noticed that there initially were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This game possesses all the indications of being one of the greatest games associated with the year, using the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with West Virginia coming rear from getting down major in the fourth 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

If this activity were being played from the fairly neutral field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, 먹튀 added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point will certainly make the big difference between the push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since 12 , 17, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 7 points for every game in home. In case an individual failed to do the mathmatical, that means given that their last home decline they have already averaged beating their own competitors by way of about thirty four items per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by means of 13 points per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats have been developed during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to had recent games in which they already have only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still a new close game to get in touch with. Yet the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this kind of game and definitely not guarantee at all. There are usually better game titles this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they could still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular game, people really serious about gambling saved money these people can put to better employ on future games.